Everbright Securities: It is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Everbright Securities reported on December 10 that with the introduction of preferential policies for car purchases by various auto companies at the end of the year and the continuous promotion of trade-in by local governments, it is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Recommend the big white horse bibcock of each subdivision track, and pay attention to the sales of new models in 2025E to achieve high flexibility. 2025E intelligence will continue to become a competitive highland in the industry, paying attention to intelligent theme investment opportunities.CITIC Securities: More positive policy signals are expected to drive the market of resource products. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting released more positive policy signals, and the improvement of the real economy is expected to boost the prices of upstream resource products and lead the sector to return to the upward trend. It is suggested to focus on three main lines: 1) improving the fundamentals of general steel, coking coal, copper-aluminum basic metals and chemicals with strong consumption attributes; 2) Bonus varieties such as crude oil and thermal coal under favorable market liquidity; 3) Growing varieties such as lithium and rare earth under the favorable market style.Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.
Citic Jiantou: The demand for promoting the release of opinions on the pipeline network and water renovation in resilient cities is expected to increase. According to the research report of CITIC Jiantou, recently, the general offices of the General Office of the Central Committee of the CPC and the State Council issued the Opinions on Promoting the Construction of New Urban Infrastructure to Create a Resilient City, which clearly stated that it is necessary to build an intelligent and efficient new urban infrastructure system and continuously improve the resilience of urban facilities, management and space. Specifically, the Opinions propose that by 2027, the construction of new urban infrastructure will make significant progress, and the supporting role for the construction of resilient cities will be continuously enhanced, forming a number of experiences and practices that can be replicated and promoted. In addition, the Opinions also proposes the implementation of intelligent municipal infrastructure construction and transformation, and the digital transformation and upgrading and intelligent management of urban water supply, drainage, power supply, gas, heat, fire hydrants (fire cranes), underground utility tunnel and other municipal infrastructure according to local conditions. We believe that in the process of building a resilient city, the demand for urban infrastructure renewal and construction is expected to continue to grow, and related water and sanitation equipment enterprises are expected to benefit.Institution: In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng dropped by 0.57% month-on-month. According to the 100-city price index of China's real estate index system, in November 2024, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng fell by 0.57% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.03 percentage points from last month. It fell by 7.29% year-on-year. In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in the top ten cities fell by 0.17% month-on-month, which was 0.16 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. It fell by 7.16% year-on-year, and the decline was narrowed by 0.36 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of cities, the prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Chengdu rose by 0.21% and 0.12% respectively. Nanjing had the largest decline from the previous month, with 0.60%; Wuhan, Hangzhou and Tianjin followed closely, with decreases of 0.43%, 0.42% and 0.31% respectively. Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing all experienced month-on-month declines of 0.1%-0.3%; Chongqing (the main city) has the smallest decline of 0.07%. In terms of year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing experienced large year-on-year declines, accounting for 10.82% and 10.24% respectively. Chongqing (the main city), Beijing, Hangzhou and Shanghai all experienced year-on-year declines of 7%-9%; The prices of second-hand houses in Tianjin, Guangzhou and Chengdu all fell by 5-7% year-on-year; Shenzhen fell by 4.42% year on year.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Steady development of new quality productive forces-China Economic Observation in 2024 ③; 2. About 100 flying rainbow bridges built and under construction in China cross the blue ocean (new economic orientation); 3. VAT invoice data shows that the retail sales of household appliances increased by 74.4% in November. 4. The General Administration of Market Supervision regulates the whole process of business marketing behavior to prevent the waste of take-away catering; 5. China-Europe trains reach 227 cities in 25 countries in Europe, connecting more than 100 cities in 11 Asian countries, sending goods over 11 million TEUs and goods worth over 420 billion US dollars-crossing mountains and seas, and the "steel camel team" adds momentum to the world economy (building the "Belt and Road" and the first site); 6. Continue to play the role of the biggest engine of world economic growth (harmony); 7. Accelerate the arrival of "Digital Wisdom Future" (vertical and horizontal); 8. Continue to expand new consumption scenarios and new formats (everyone talks); 9. What do you think of the "China scenery" in the world economy (current economic question and answer in China)? 10. The two departments will further improve the working mechanism of centralized drug collection and implementation, and encourage the priority use of selected drugs and consumables; 11. Give full play to the role of bidding competition to help the standardized and healthy development of the bidding market (the way of governance); 12. The national economy is progressing steadily (number 2024); 13. Improve the quality and efficiency of life insurance management and do a good job in pension finance; 14. The global robot industry accelerates innovation and development (international perspective). In 2023, the number of newly installed industrial robots in China exceeded half of the world; 15. The active format of the new service consumption market characterized by digital and green is released to "new" vitality (consumption window, promoting the expansion and upgrading of service consumption); 16. Create more abundant new products for the integration of literature and tourism (market stroll); 17. CNCA issued an action plan to improve the quality management system certification of small and micro enterprises, improve product quality and increase quality supply (consumption kaleidoscope).
After the strike ended, the delivery of Boeing aircraft dropped to 13 in November. On Tuesday, Boeing reported that it delivered 13 commercial jets in November, less than a quarter of the 56 jets delivered to customers 12 months ago. The number of deliveries in October decreased from 14 in October, when most of the company's aircraft production was still in a state of suspension, and 33,000 factory workers went on strike for seven weeks, which ended on November 5. Boeing shares closed up 4.5% on Tuesday. The aircraft manufacturer said that after weeks of methodical preparations, the company restarted the production of the 737 MAX and loaded the new fuselage into the Renton factory in Seattle.Huatai Securities: The policy overweight boosts consumption and is optimistic about the four main lines. Huatai Securities Research Report said that with the continuous efforts of promoting consumption policies, the large consumer sector ushered in the configuration window period and continued to be optimistic about the basic orientation and valuation repair of the consumer sector. It is suggested to pay attention to four main investment lines: 1) the rise of domestic products: the strength and brand power of domestic products in beauty care, home appliances, pets, textiles and clothing are constantly improving, occupying consumers' minds against the trend, and domestic products continue to lead; 2) Emotional consumption: the products on the supply side are continuously iterated, and the goods/services are built as a medium to convey emotional value, and the consumption on the demand side is superimposed to promote the continuous expansion of the tide play /IP economy; 3) New cost performance: The consumption concept of residents is becoming more and more rational, and the quality-price ratio has become the core of consumption decision-making. The new cost performance consumption focusing on "good but not expensive" is expected to continue to grow rapidly; 4) Consumption going to sea: Going to sea has become a necessary topic for consumer enterprises. Under the two-way catalysis of supply and demand, China enterprises are actively participating in global market competition and paying attention to brand/culture/service going to sea.The negotiation between Myriad and United Health Insurance may be extended to the beginning of 2025, and the negotiation between Myriad Genetics and UnitedHealthcare on the genetic test of Myriad may continue until the beginning of 2025. Myriad reiterated its estimate of the financial impact of the United Health Insurance Company's updated medical policy in 2024.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13